Sun Nov 01, 3:25 PM CT · archived result
| Model fair line (Miami Dolphins) | +7.2 |
| Market line (book) | +7.0 |
| Edge (points) | -0.21 |
| Model win prob - New England Patriots | 24.9% |
| Market implied - Miami Dolphins | 26.7% |
| Power rating - New England Patriots | 1550.2 |
| Power rating - Miami Dolphins | 1324.1 |
El Pluga Sports is an independent betting-value scanner. Every day our Elo power model - adjusted for the current injury report - publishes a fair line for each game and compares it with the sportsbook market. When the two differ by 2+ points the game is flagged MISPRICED; when lines have already moved sharply toward one side it is flagged SHARP MOVE.
An edge is a statistical estimate, not a promise. Lines move, injuries change, and models are wrong often enough that no single game should be treated as certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose - see our responsible gambling page.