Sun Nov 01, 12:00 PM CT · archived result
| Model fair line (Jacksonville Jaguars) | -13.1 |
| Market line (book) | -10.0 |
| Edge (points) | +3.10 |
| Model win prob - Indianapolis Colts | 84.7% |
| Market implied - Jacksonville Jaguars | 79.6% |
| Power rating - Indianapolis Colts | 1356.2 |
| Power rating - Jacksonville Jaguars | 1571.9 |
El Pluga Sports is an independent betting-value scanner. Every day our Elo power model - adjusted for the current injury report - publishes a fair line for each game and compares it with the sportsbook market. When the two differ by 2+ points the game is flagged MISPRICED; when lines have already moved sharply toward one side it is flagged SHARP MOVE.
An edge is a statistical estimate, not a promise. Lines move, injuries change, and models are wrong often enough that no single game should be treated as certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose - see our responsible gambling page.