Sun Oct 18, 12:00 PM CT · archived result
| Model fair line (Cleveland Browns) | +4.1 |
| Market line (book) | +3.5 |
| Edge (points) | -0.57 |
| Model win prob - Baltimore Ravens | 34.5% |
| Market implied - Cleveland Browns | 35.5% |
| Power rating - Baltimore Ravens | 1642.7 |
| Power rating - Cleveland Browns | 1488.1 |
El Pluga Sports is an independent betting-value scanner. Every day our Elo power model - adjusted for the current injury report - publishes a fair line for each game and compares it with the sportsbook market. When the two differ by 2+ points the game is flagged MISPRICED; when lines have already moved sharply toward one side it is flagged SHARP MOVE.
An edge is a statistical estimate, not a promise. Lines move, injuries change, and models are wrong often enough that no single game should be treated as certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose - see our responsible gambling page.