Sun Nov 01, 12:00 PM CT · archived result
| Model fair line (Buffalo Bills) | -7.8 |
| Market line (book) | -3.0 |
| Edge (points) | +4.79 |
| Model win prob - Baltimore Ravens | 69.3% |
| Market implied - Buffalo Bills | 60.0% |
| Power rating - Baltimore Ravens | 1554.4 |
| Power rating - Buffalo Bills | 1658.8 |
El Pluga Sports is an independent betting-value scanner. Every day our Elo power model - adjusted for the current injury report - publishes a fair line for each game and compares it with the sportsbook market. When the two differ by 2+ points the game is flagged MISPRICED; when lines have already moved sharply toward one side it is flagged SHARP MOVE.
An edge is a statistical estimate, not a promise. Lines move, injuries change, and models are wrong often enough that no single game should be treated as certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose - see our responsible gambling page.