← All College Football model picks
Sat Nov 14, 6:00 PM CT
| Model fair line (North Carolina Tar Heels) | -4.4 |
| Market line (book) | +3.0 |
| Edge (points) | +7.39 |
| Model win prob - Louisville Cardinals | 55.6% |
| Market implied - North Carolina Tar Heels | 43.6% |
| Power rating - Louisville Cardinals | 1500.0 |
| Power rating - North Carolina Tar Heels | 1531.5 |
No reportable injuries listed.
No reportable injuries listed.
El Pluga Sports is an independent betting-value scanner. Every day our Elo power model - adjusted for the current injury report - publishes a fair line for each game and compares it with the sportsbook market. When the two differ by 2+ points the game is flagged MISPRICED; when lines have already moved sharply toward one side it is flagged SHARP MOVE.
An edge is a statistical estimate, not a promise. Lines move, injuries change, and models are wrong often enough that no single game should be treated as certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose - see our responsible gambling page.