College Football Model Picks & Fair Lines - Updated Daily

Free public view of the El Pluga Sports value scanner: every upcoming College Football game with our injury-adjusted Elo fair line compared against the sportsbook market. Tap any game for the full write-up, injury report and model-vs-market table.

The live scanner with every market (moneylines, spreads, totals, steam moves) is here - free member account required.

Current board

• Georgia State Panthers at App State Mountaineers · Sat Nov 07, 1:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -6.5 · edge -3.5 MISPRICED
• Texas A&M Aggies at South Carolina Gamecocks · Sat Nov 07, 2:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -6.5 · edge -3.5 MISPRICED
• UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves · Sat Nov 07, 2:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -14.5 · edge -11.6 MISPRICED
• Delaware Blue Hens at Kennesaw State Owls · Sat Nov 07, 2:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book +1.5 · edge +4.5 MISPRICED
• Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers · Sat Nov 07, 2:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -6.0 · edge -3.0 MISPRICED
• Oregon Ducks at Ohio State Buckeyes · Sat Nov 07, 2:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -7.5 · edge -4.5 MISPRICED
• Merrimack Warriors at Wake Forest Demon Deacons · Sat Nov 07, 2:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -46.5 · edge -43.5 MISPRICED
• Cincinnati Bearcats at Houston Cougars · Sat Nov 07, 2:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -10.5 · edge -7.5 MISPRICED
• Penn State Nittany Lions at Washington Huskies · Sat Nov 07, 2:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -2.5 · edge +0.5
• Charlotte 49ers at UAB Blazers · Sat Nov 07, 2:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -8.5 · edge -5.5 MISPRICED
• Temple Owls at Navy Midshipmen · Sat Nov 07, 2:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -7.0 · edge -4.0 MISPRICED
• Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia Southern Eagles · Sat Nov 07, 2:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -7.0 · edge -4.0 MISPRICED
• Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · Sat Nov 07, 2:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book +2.5 · edge +5.5 MISPRICED
• UCF Knights at Kansas Jayhawks · Sat Nov 07, 2:45 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -6.0 · edge -3.0 MISPRICED
• Rice Owls at North Texas Mean Green · Sat Nov 07, 3:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -15.5 · edge -12.6 MISPRICED
• Northern Illinois Huskies at San José State Spartans · Sat Nov 07, 3:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -12.5 · edge -9.6 MISPRICED
• Missouri State Bears at Florida International Panthers · Sat Nov 07, 3:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -4.5 · edge -1.6
• Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Troy Trojans · Sat Nov 07, 3:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book +7.0 · edge +9.9 MISPRICED
• Vanderbilt Commodores at Mississippi State Bulldogs · Sat Nov 07, 3:15 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -2.5 · edge +0.5
• Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Wisconsin Badgers · Sat Nov 07, 3:15 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -19.5 · edge -16.6 MISPRICED
• South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns · Sat Nov 07, 4:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -7.0 · edge -4.0 MISPRICED
• Boise State Broncos at Colorado State Rams · Sat Nov 07, 5:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book +16.5 · edge +19.4 MISPRICED
• Kentucky Wildcats at Tennessee Volunteers · Sat Nov 07, 5:15 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -6.0 · edge -3.0 MISPRICED
• Sam Houston Bearkats at Jacksonville State Gamecocks · Sat Nov 07, 6:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -16.5 · edge -13.6 MISPRICED
• Miami Hurricanes at Notre Dame Fighting Irish · Sat Nov 07, 6:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -7.0 · edge -4.0 MISPRICED
• Georgia Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels · Sat Nov 07, 6:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book +3.5 · edge +6.5 MISPRICED
• Iowa Hawkeyes at Northwestern Wildcats · Sat Nov 07, 6:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book +3.0 · edge +6.0 MISPRICED
• Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils · Sat Nov 07, 6:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -3.0 · edge -0.1
• Louisville Cardinals at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · Sat Nov 07, 6:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book +14.5 · edge +17.4 MISPRICED
• Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines · Sat Nov 07, 6:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -14.0 · edge -11.1 MISPRICED
• Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights · Sat Nov 07, 6:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -4.0 · edge -1.1
• Oklahoma Sooners at Florida Gators · Sat Nov 07, 6:45 PM CT · model line -2.8 vs book -4.5 · edge -1.7
• Liberty Flames at New Mexico State Aggies · Sat Nov 07, 7:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book +15.5 · edge +18.4 MISPRICED
• West Virginia Mountaineers at Texas Tech Red Raiders · Sat Nov 07, 8:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -16.5 · edge -13.6 MISPRICED
• Fresno State Bulldogs at Utah State Aggies · Sat Nov 07, 8:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book +1.5 · edge +4.5 MISPRICED
• Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at UTEP Miners · Sat Nov 07, 8:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book +7.5 · edge +10.4 MISPRICED
• Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers · Sat Nov 07, 9:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -5.5 · edge -2.5 MISPRICED
• Wyoming Cowboys at UNLV Rebels · Sat Nov 07, 9:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book -3.5 · edge -0.6
• Western Michigan Broncos at Akron Zips · Tue Nov 10, 6:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book — · edge —
• Kent State Golden Flashes at Bowling Green Falcons · Tue Nov 10, 6:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book — · edge —
• Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks · Tue Nov 10, 7:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book — · edge —
• Massachusetts Minutemen at Toledo Rockets · Tue Nov 10, 11:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book — · edge —
• Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals · Wed Nov 11, 6:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book — · edge —
• Sacramento State Hornets at Central Michigan Chippewas · Wed Nov 11, 6:30 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book — · edge —
• Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls · Thu Nov 12, 7:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book — · edge —
• Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at UL Monroe Warhawks · Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book — · edge —
• Florida State Seminoles at Pittsburgh Panthers · Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book — · edge —
• Illinois Fighting Illini at UCLA Bruins · Fri Nov 13, 8:00 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book — · edge —
• Houston Cougars at Colorado Buffaloes · Fri Nov 13, 9:15 PM CT · model line -3.0 vs book — · edge —

How the model works

Each team carries an Elo-style power rating updated through the season. Home advantage and the current injury report adjust the rating, which converts to a fair point spread at roughly 22 rating points per point. When our fair spread differs from the market by 2+ points, the game is flagged as potentially mispriced. This is a statistical screen, not a guarantee.