NHL Model Picks & Fair Lines - Updated Daily
Free public view of the El Pluga Sports value scanner: every upcoming NHL game with our injury-adjusted Elo fair line compared against the sportsbook market. Tap any game for the full write-up, injury report and model-vs-market table.
The live scanner with every market (moneylines, spreads, totals, steam moves) is here - free member account required.
Current board
- New York Rangers at Seattle Kraken · Sat Nov 07, 4:00 PM CT · model line -2.1 vs book +1.5 · edge +3.6 MISPRICED
- Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs · Sat Nov 07, 6:00 PM CT · model line +2.3 vs book +1.5 · edge -0.8
- Utah Mammoth at Ottawa Senators · Sat Nov 07, 6:00 PM CT · model line -1.3 vs book +1.5 · edge +2.8 MISPRICED
- New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders · Sat Nov 07, 6:00 PM CT · model line +1.8 vs book +1.5 · edge -0.3
- Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes · Sat Nov 07, 7:00 PM CT · model line -18.9 vs book -1.5 · edge +17.4 MISPRICED
- San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars · Sat Nov 07, 7:00 PM CT · model line -8.5 vs book -1.5 · edge +7.0 MISPRICED
- Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild · Sat Nov 07, 7:00 PM CT · model line -0.8 vs book +1.5 · edge +2.3 MISPRICED
- Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche · Sat Nov 07, 8:00 PM CT · model line -9.6 vs book -1.5 · edge +8.1 MISPRICED
- Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings · Sat Nov 07, 8:00 PM CT · model line +1.6 vs book -1.5 · edge -3.1 MISPRICED
- Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers · Sat Nov 07, 9:00 PM CT · model line -18.0 vs book -1.5 · edge +16.5 MISPRICED
- Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins · Sun Nov 08, 12:00 PM CT · model line -8.8 vs book -1.5 · edge +7.3 MISPRICED
- Vegas Golden Knights at Buffalo Sabres · Sun Nov 08, 2:30 PM CT · model line +1.4 vs book +1.5 · edge +0.1
- Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets · Sun Nov 08, 5:00 PM CT · model line +4.5 vs book +1.5 · edge -3.0 MISPRICED
- New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs · Sun Nov 08, 6:00 PM CT · model line +0.8 vs book +1.5 · edge +0.7
- Philadelphia Flyers at Calgary Flames · Sun Nov 08, 6:00 PM CT · model line +0.9 vs book +1.5 · edge +0.6
- Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks · Sun Nov 08, 7:00 PM CT · model line +1.5 vs book -1.5 · edge -3.0 MISPRICED
- New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers · Mon Nov 09, 7:00 PM CT · model line -7.3 vs book — · edge —
- Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks · Mon Nov 09, 8:30 PM CT · model line +4.9 vs book — · edge —
- New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks · Mon Nov 09, 9:00 PM CT · model line -4.7 vs book — · edge —
- Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs · Tue Nov 10, 6:00 PM CT · model line +2.7 vs book — · edge —
- Minnesota Wild at Montreal Canadiens · Tue Nov 10, 6:00 PM CT · model line -4.5 vs book — · edge —
- Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators · Tue Nov 10, 6:00 PM CT · model line +0.4 vs book — · edge —
- New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets · Tue Nov 10, 6:00 PM CT · model line +2.4 vs book — · edge —
- Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets · Tue Nov 10, 6:30 PM CT · model line -2.5 vs book — · edge —
- Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues · Tue Nov 10, 7:00 PM CT · model line -8.7 vs book — · edge —
- Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings · Tue Nov 10, 9:00 PM CT · model line +0.2 vs book — · edge —
- Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres · Wed Nov 11, 6:00 PM CT · model line +1.1 vs book — · edge —
- New York Rangers at Calgary Flames · Wed Nov 11, 6:30 PM CT · model line +3.8 vs book — · edge —
- Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers · Wed Nov 11, 8:00 PM CT · model line -10.1 vs book — · edge —
- Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights · Wed Nov 11, 8:30 PM CT · model line -5.2 vs book — · edge —
- Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks · Wed Nov 11, 9:00 PM CT · model line +0.1 vs book — · edge —
- Pittsburgh Penguins at San Jose Sharks · Wed Nov 11, 9:00 PM CT · model line -1.5 vs book — · edge —
- Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken · Thu Nov 12, 11:00 AM CT · model line +7.8 vs book — · edge —
- Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins · Thu Nov 12, 6:00 PM CT · model line -5.1 vs book — · edge —
- Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs · Thu Nov 12, 6:00 PM CT · model line +0.8 vs book — · edge —
- Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators · Thu Nov 12, 6:00 PM CT · model line +0.3 vs book — · edge —
- Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils · Thu Nov 12, 6:00 PM CT · model line -1.0 vs book — · edge —
- Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets · Thu Nov 12, 6:00 PM CT · model line +1.8 vs book — · edge —
- Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers · Thu Nov 12, 6:30 PM CT · model line -5.6 vs book — · edge —
- Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks · Thu Nov 12, 7:00 PM CT · model line +2.7 vs book — · edge —
- Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars · Thu Nov 12, 7:00 PM CT · model line -10.9 vs book — · edge —
- St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth · Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM CT · model line -2.1 vs book — · edge —
- New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings · Thu Nov 12, 9:00 PM CT · model line -1.5 vs book — · edge —
- New York Rangers at Vancouver Canucks · Fri Nov 13, 8:00 PM CT · model line +7.8 vs book — · edge —
- Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights · Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM CT · model line -8.4 vs book — · edge —
How the model works
Each team carries an Elo-style power rating updated through the season. Home advantage and the current injury report adjust the rating, which converts to a fair point spread at roughly 22 rating points per point. When our fair spread differs from the market by 2+ points, the game is flagged as potentially mispriced. This is a statistical screen, not a guarantee.