College Basketball Model Picks & Fair Lines - Updated Daily

Free public view of the El Pluga Sports value scanner: every upcoming College Basketball game with our injury-adjusted Elo fair line compared against the sportsbook market. Tap any game for the full write-up, injury report and model-vs-market table.

The live scanner with every market (moneylines, spreads, totals, steam moves) is here - free member account required.

Current board

• New Mexico State Aggies at Gonzaga Bulldogs · Sat Nov 07, 4:00 PM CT · model line -12.3 vs book -29.5 · edge -17.2 MISPRICED
• Iona Gaels at St. John's Red Storm · Sun Nov 08, 11:00 AM CT · model line -13.3 vs book — · edge —
• Arkansas Razorbacks at Virginia Cavaliers · Sun Nov 08, 12:00 PM CT · model line -3.7 vs book -1.5 · edge +2.2 MISPRICED
• Houston Cougars at California Golden Bears · Sun Nov 08, 7:30 PM CT · model line +8.3 vs book — · edge —
• USC Trojans at Wichita State Shockers · Sun Nov 08, 10:00 PM CT · model line -5.2 vs book — · edge —
• Wagner Seahawks at UConn Huskies · Mon Nov 09, 6:00 PM CT · model line -17.6 vs book — · edge —
• Grambling Tigers at Texas Longhorns · Mon Nov 09, 6:00 PM CT · model line -9.4 vs book — · edge —
• Radford Highlanders at Tennessee Volunteers · Mon Nov 09, 6:00 PM CT · model line -9.8 vs book — · edge —
• North Florida Ospreys at Miami Hurricanes · Mon Nov 09, 6:00 PM CT · model line -7.1 vs book — · edge —
• Oakland Golden Grizzlies at Alabama Crimson Tide · Mon Nov 09, 6:30 PM CT · model line -9.7 vs book — · edge —
• Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles · Tue Nov 10, 5:00 PM CT · model line +10.1 vs book — · edge —
• Michigan State Spartans at Duke Blue Devils · Tue Nov 10, 6:00 PM CT · model line -10.9 vs book -6.5 · edge +4.4 MISPRICED
• Memphis Tigers at Vanderbilt Commodores · Tue Nov 10, 6:15 PM CT · model line -9.0 vs book — · edge —
• Illinois Fighting Illini at Texas Tech Red Raiders · Tue Nov 10, 7:00 PM CT · model line +3.2 vs book — · edge —
• Southern Jaguars at Iowa State Cyclones · Tue Nov 10, 7:00 PM CT · model line -8.8 vs book — · edge —
• Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Arizona Wildcats · Tue Nov 10, 8:00 PM CT · model line -14.2 vs book — · edge —
• Bucknell Bison at Virginia Cavaliers · Tue Nov 10, 8:00 PM CT · model line -12.6 vs book — · edge —
• Queens University Royals at BYU Cougars · Tue Nov 10, 8:00 PM CT · model line -5.6 vs book — · edge —
• Kansas Jayhawks at Kentucky Wildcats · Tue Nov 10, 8:30 PM CT · model line -0.5 vs book +5.5 · edge +6.0 MISPRICED
• Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at UCLA Bruins · Tue Nov 10, 11:00 PM CT · model line -8.8 vs book — · edge —
• Colgate Raiders at St. John's Red Storm · Wed Nov 11, 6:00 PM CT · model line -13.3 vs book — · edge —
• Marquette Golden Eagles at Michigan Wolverines · Wed Nov 11, 6:00 PM CT · model line -17.7 vs book — · edge —
• Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Houston Cougars · Wed Nov 11, 7:00 PM CT · model line -11.5 vs book — · edge —
• Robert Morris Colonials at Arkansas Razorbacks · Wed Nov 11, 7:00 PM CT · model line -11.8 vs book — · edge —
• USC Trojans at California Golden Bears · Wed Nov 11, 10:00 PM CT · model line -2.5 vs book — · edge —
• Montana State Bobcats at BYU Cougars · Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM CT · model line -4.9 vs book — · edge —
• North Alabama Lions at Miami Hurricanes · Fri Nov 13, 4:00 PM CT · model line -5.4 vs book — · edge —
• Merrimack Warriors at Florida Gators · Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM CT · model line -14.6 vs book — · edge —
• Sam Houston Bearkats at Illinois Fighting Illini · Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM CT · model line -15.1 vs book — · edge —
• Northern Iowa Panthers at Michigan State Spartans · Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM CT · model line -11.5 vs book — · edge —
• Tennessee State Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers · Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM CT · model line -10.6 vs book — · edge —
• Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Kentucky Wildcats · Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM CT · model line -6.3 vs book — · edge —
• Prairie View A&M Panthers at Vanderbilt Commodores · Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM CT · model line -9.9 vs book — · edge —
• Ohio State Buckeyes at UConn Huskies · Fri Nov 13, 6:30 PM CT · model line -18.5 vs book — · edge —
• SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Duke Blue Devils · Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM CT · model line -18.9 vs book — · edge —
• Virginia Cavaliers at Maryland Terrapins · Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM CT · model line +11.0 vs book — · edge —
• Central Arkansas Bears at Arkansas Razorbacks · Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM CT · model line -11.8 vs book — · edge —
• Arizona Wildcats at Auburn Tigers · Fri Nov 13, 8:00 PM CT · model line +9.8 vs book — · edge —
• Seton Hall Pirates at Alabama Crimson Tide · Fri Nov 13, 8:00 PM CT · model line -12.8 vs book — · edge —

How the model works

Each team carries an Elo-style power rating updated through the season. Home advantage and the current injury report adjust the rating, which converts to a fair point spread at roughly 22 rating points per point. When our fair spread differs from the market by 2+ points, the game is flagged as potentially mispriced. This is a statistical screen, not a guarantee.